QQ-Sports > Basketball > Lakers three-party trading bet: hollow out the future to replace the defensive dual cores, the Jazz harvest the draft pick to the end
Lakers three-party trading bet: hollow out the future to replace the defensive dual cores, the Jazz harvest the draft pick to the end
Full analysis of the trading framework
According to the latest simulation plan of the US media "BF", the transaction details of the Lakers, Celtics and Jazz are exposed:
Lakers: White (point guard/91.69 million in 3 years) + Kessler (center) + 2025 second round 32 draw
Celtics: Reeves (point guard) + Vincent (point guard) + 2025 second round 55 draw + 2031 second round pick (jazz) + 2.7 million cash
Jazz: Nector (forward/10.65 million in 2 years) + Milton (swinger) + Lakers first round 2027 + Lakers first round 2031 + Celtics' second round in 2031 + 2.1 million cash
This plan directly hits the pain points of the three teams, but also hides huge risks.
1. Lakers: Sacrifice deep bet on defense, success or failure depends on health
Core gain:
White’s value: an offense and defense integrated point guard with averaging 15.2 points + 5.2 assists + 1.0 breaks, which can liberate Doncic to focus on offense, and his 34.7% three-point shooting percentage is better than Reeves (32.1%).
Kesler's frame protection: 11.1 points + 12.2 rebounds + 2.4 hats data perfectly fills the Lakers' inside loopholes (6th in the penalty area last season).
The painful price:
The hollow out future assets: send out two first-round picks in 2027 (top four protections) and 2031, overdrawing and rebuilding chips;
The rotation collapsed: After Reeves (15.8 points and 5 assists) and Hachimura (the plan was not proposed but the salary was required) left the team, the substitute score dropped sharply by more than 30%.
Ultimate bet: If White + Kessler cannot help James and Doncic win the championship, the Lakers may fall into the abyss after 2030.
2. Celtics: Stop loss reorganization, bet on Reeves to carry the flag
Chain reaction of Tatum’s injury:
After the star of the Achilles tendon was torn, the Celtics urgently needed offensive firepower to fill the gap. Reeves averaged 15+5 ball possession ability to play the temporary core, while Vincent (11.5 points) provided substitute firepower.
Smart cash compensation:
While swallowing Vincent's expiration contract, he collected 2.7 million in cash balance expenditure, leaving room for subsequent operations.
Strategic Objective:
Give up White's long-term contract (average salary of 30.56 million) in exchange for flexibility and ensure a healthy salary return to the championship echelon in 2026.
3. Jazz: Reconstruct textbook operation, draft pick harvester
Asset plunder logic:
First round pick value maximization: Lakers’ first four protection signs in 2027 (if protection triggers to transfer to the second round) and the first round of 2031, there is a high probability that they will become lottery draws (James retires + Doncic uncertainty);
Low-risk scavenging lottery: Nector (rookie) and Milton (expired contract) can be traded, but if they fail, they will give up.
Reconstruction foreshadowing:
Holding two Lakers first round + Celtics second round, the Jazz have 11 first round picks in the next seven years, and can copy the "Angee-style trade" (such as Gobert 1 for 10) and then change to superstars.
4. The fatal hidden dangers of the three-party game
The Lakers bet on health:
Kessler missed 58 games in the past two seasons, White’s risk of injury increased at the age of 32. If the dual core is injured, the Lakers will collapse.
Celtic locker room crisis:
Reeves' ball rights demand conflicts with Jaylen Brown. Improper handling may repeat the mistake of "Smart's departure" (sent away the defensive core due to conflicts in 2023).
Jazz's greed cost:
If the Lakers' signing protection is triggered in 2027, the Jazz actually only won 1.5 first rounds, far lower than the trading returns of stars such as Markkanen.
5. The league pattern is invisible: The arms race in the West
If this deal is reached, it will trigger a chain reaction:
The Clippers' sense of urgency is intensified: After the opponent in the same city is strengthened, the Clippers may accelerate their pursuit of Durant (has been tentatively quoted);
Timberwolves are alert: Kessler joins the Lakers and directly threatens Gobert's status as the "best defensive player" (last season rebounding king + blocking king);
Jazz's reconstruction acceleration: holding a large number of draft picks, can intervene in the Durant trade (if the Suns ask for 4 first rounds, the Jazz can intercept the bully).
History is always surprisingly similar:
The Lakers have become laughed stocks because of Westbrook's trade (sending Kuzma + Pope + first round). Can White + Kessler avenge this time? The Celtics follow the 2023 "Smart's Wave Change" operation (now helps the team win the championship), while the Jazz replicates the Gobert-like plundering - the NBA has no eternal winners, only gamblers who dare to rebuild their ambitions in the ruins.
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