The next Monk or Walker? The opportunity is already in front of the Lakers center, it depends on how he does it

After the All-Star season 24-25, the Lakers averaged 44.3 points in the inside, ranking 26th in the league in the same period; they lost 50.7 points per game, ranking 20th in the league. It can be seen that after the lack of Than-Brow and Hayes were pushed to the starter, the Lakers' offense and defense level fell sharply. In the offseason, Pelinka signed DeAndre Aiton with 16 million in 2 years.

are all for gilding, and Ayton can easily remind people of the previous Monk and Walker. To put it more, thanks to his highlight performance during the Lakers, Monk made a counterattack to his annual salary of 10 million yuan - he switched to the Kings in the summer of 222 to 19 million yuan for two years and 4 years and 78 million yuan for four years and 24 to 24 to 78 million yuan for four years.

In contrast, although Walker also has some highlights, it has not been recognized by the league as a whole - he joined the Israeli giants team Macabi Tel Aviv this summer. That is to say, it has faded out of the league.

In other words, the Lakers' super high exposure is a double-edged sword. Potential, good performance is positive and negative performance is generally negative.

So, is Ayton the next Monk or Walker in a similar scenario?

For this, I think the probability of being the next Munch is very high.

First, in the 398 games so far, Ayton's real offense plus-minus value is 1.0, and the real defense plus-minus value is -0.2. Obviously, the characteristics of strong offense and weak offense are very distinct. Take apart the offense:

From the perspective of shooting rate, the career basket, near basket, mid-range, large two-pointers and three-pointers are 76.6%, 53.0%, 46.0%, 42.4% and 23.0% respectively. From the side, Ayton has at least the elite level finishing ability within the three-point line.

Based on this point, it will not become a "black hole" on the offensive end like Vanderbilt, thus allowing the opponent to form a "5-defense 4".

From the perspective of assistance, he averaged 3.1 screens per game so far in his career, which is better than 61% of the players in the same position. Using screens to create 1.59 points per time, better than 69% of the players in the same position. To a large extent, Ayton's cover quality is still very high.

We all know that Doncic has a great bonus to the center, so Ayton can complement the former with certain ending support capabilities.

Secondly, Ayton's defensiveness is more of an attitude than a personal ability. Speaking of this, say one more thing. Ayton and the Trail Blazers bought out actively rather than passively. From the side, there is no problem with this defensive attitude in the new season. As a result, the defensive efficiency will inevitably be improved to a greater or lesser extent.

Furthermore, the Lakers lack centers and Ayton takes the initiative to shoot, which means that opportunities in the new season are guaranteed.

In summary, it can be divided into the following three points:

1. Ayton's offensive ability complements Doncic;

2. Correct attitude promotes the improvement of defensive efficiency;

3. Opportunities are guaranteed.

Relatively speaking, I think the first point is the main reason.

To put it bluntly, Doncic also has an bonus to Hayes, but the latter cannot complement Doncic with lack of offensive methods. In contrast, Doncic and Ayton have more or less meanings of Stockton and Malone.

And the second and third points play a very good role in promoting.

To put it bluntly, the most likely thing is that the previous "strong offense and weak defense" is that it is impossible to effectively convert stable data without guarantees.

Finally, I expect that Ayton averages 18 (scoring) + 12 (rebounds) and 2 (blocks) per game in the new season. Next summer, he will be able to earn at least 10 million yuan in annual salary like Monk.