5.24 Sports Lottery Football Recommendations: Real Madrid VS Real Sociedad, Bologna VS Genoa, Alaves VS Osasuna

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Real Madrid: This is a farewell battle for coach Ancelotti, and many veterans (such as Modric and Alaba) will also leave the team. The team hopes to end the season with victory. Although Real Madrid has secured second place in the league (81 points) and is 4 points behind Barcelona and has no chance of winning the championship, they still need to fight for honor and provide support for Mbappe to hit the La Liga record for 30 goals in a single season (currently 29 goals).

Injuries: 9 main players including Vinicius, Rodrigo, Camavenga were absent due to injuries, Bellingham was suspended, leaving only Mbappe and Asensio (just returned) to support the attack. The defense relies on the combination of Courtois (90% save success rate) and a temporary reorganization of the central defender.

Tactics: The ball control + counterattack strategy may be continued under the remnant team. The midfield is dominated by Chu Améni, relying on Mbappe's personal ability (51% of the offense is launched from the left rib) and wing attacks. If the defense line is wrong, it may be threatened by the opponent's counterattack.

Real Sociedad: The team ranks 11th, with no relegation or pressure from European wars, but hopes to end with victory and continue the tradition of "giant killer" (such as defeating Real Madrid at home in 2022-23). Coach Alguacir emphasized the importance of the "battle of dignity".

Injuries: The main central defender Agerde is injured and Munos is suspended, and the three central defender system may be activated. Gomez, the left-wing defense core, needs to limit Mbappe's breakthrough, but there is a disadvantage in speed confrontation.

Tactics: Based on defensive counterattack, use Kubo Kenyoshi (13 goals and 8 assists) and Oyasabal's wing speed, as well as Merino's midfield interception organization. Real Madrid's midfield transmission needs to be cut off through high-level pressing.

Historical confrontations:

Real Madrid won all the La Liga matches and scored zero, but Real Madrid lost 3-4 to the Royal Society at home in the semi-finals of the Cup of Rey this season (advanced in overtime). The Imperial Society still has the possibility of a counterattack psychologically.

Real Madrid has obvious home advantage: 15 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 18 home games this season, with a winning rate of 84%.

Real Madrid wins 2-1 or 3-1

Winning points:

Real Madrid's offensive and defensive balance problem, if Mbappe is restricted, he may be in a deadlock.

If the Emperor's Society seizes the opportunity to set the ball (such as Zubimendi's quick counterattack after interception), he may get a surprise score.

Bologna vs Genoa

Bologna: It has been locked in the Europa League qualification (8th, 62 points in the standings), and there is no further pressure to rank, but as the season's home game finale, the team hopes to continue the home unbeaten record (unbeaten in the last 10 home games, with a winning rate of 61%. Head coach Vincenzo Italiano stressed that the season ended with a decent victory, but some players may be affected by fatigue or rotation.

Home defense is stable (per game conceded 0.9 goals), with a high ball possession rate (pass accuracy of more than 85%), and the tactics are mainly ball possession and wing impact. Osolini and Dalinga form an efficient front line.

Injuries: Recent state fluctuations (1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 games), frequent defensive loopholes (only 2 clean sheets in the last 18 games), and Juan Miranda was suspended, and some main players were injured.

Tactics: Focusing on 3-5-2 or 4-2-3-1 formations, relying on midfield control (450 passes per game) and wide breakthroughs, Osolini's creativity and Darlinga's finishing ability are the key. Beware of set pieces defensive mistakes.

Genoa: Successfully relegated early (13th and 40 points in the standings), and her fighting spirit is also limited, but her away performance has been sluggish recently (only 1 win in the last 10 away games), and she needs to restore her image through defensive resilience. Coach Vieira criticized the team's recent defensive mistakes and emphasized that fighting spirit should be shown in the final battle.

tied Bologna 2-2 in the first leg, and was not psychologically disadvantaged; there were so many small scores in recent games (average goals of 0.7 per game), and a set ball counterattack was a certain threat.

Injuries: Poor away defense (period of 1.5 goals per game), not winning in the last 6 games (3 draws and 3 losses), and many main players were injured (such as Barney, Corne, etc.).

Tactics: Use 4-2-3-1 defensive counterattack, shrink the defense line and limit the opponent's space, relying on Pinamonti's speed and Mescias's wing breakthrough to create a threat. However, the ball possession rate is low (78%) and the counterattack efficiency is doubtful.

Historical Confrontation: Bologna has suffered 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 games, but has drew 2-2 in the first leg of this season. Genoa has won +1.5 handicaps against Bologna in the past five away games.

Bologna is unbeaten at home 1-1, 2-1 or 1-0

Winning points:

Osolini vs Genoa's right defense: Bologna's attack on the right accounts for a high proportion, and Genoa needs to limit its crosses and cuts inwards.

Pinamonti vs Bologna's three central defenders: Genoa's forward needs to use the opponent's defense line to turn the speed disadvantage.

Alaves vs. Osasuna

Alaves: He has successfully relegated in advance (41 points, ranking 14th), and has no point pressure, but as the final game of the season at home, the team hopes to continue the recent unbeaten at home (2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 home games, including draws Atletico Madrid). However, the team's fighting spirit may be slackened by the achievement of relegation goals. The recent state has rebounded, with two consecutive wins in the league and a solid defense (average of 1 goals per game in the last 10 games and 5 clean sheets); veteran Kirk Garcia (13 goals) is the core of the offensive and won the penalty kick in the last round.

Injuries: weak offensive (only 12 goals in the last 15 games and no goals in 6 games); main defender Abukar was reimbursed for the season, and the stability of the defense line decreased; midfield interception ability declined by 20%.

Tactics: Use a 4-4-2 defensive counterattack, relying on Kirk Garcia's finishing ability and wing attack (high proportion of attack on the right). However, the interception ability of the midfield has declined and may be suppressed by Osasuna.

Osasuna: Ranked 8th with 51 points, and still has the opportunity to hit the Europa League qualification (need to surpass Celta and Real Betis). In this game, you must score three points to retain hope, and your fighting spirit is far higher than your opponent. He has won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 rounds, and is efficient on the offensive end (1.83 goals per game); forward Budimir (21 goals and 4 assists) is in a hot state, and has scored against Alaves in the first leg; set-piece threats (scoring 7 goals this season).

Injuries: The away performance is sluggish (only 2 wins in 18 away games, with a winning rate of 11.1%); the injury of winger Zaragoza and other players affected the breakthrough on the wing.

Tactics: Focus on the 4-2-3-1 ball control system, focusing on crosses and set balls from the wing (Budimir heads pose a great threat). The interception efficiency of Torres and Dani Garcia (4.8 per game) may dominate the midfield control.

Historical record: In the last 10 La Liga encounters, Osasuna has an absolute advantage in 8 wins and 2 draws, and remains unbeaten in the past 3 away games, 2 wins and 1 draw.

Osasuna's small away win (0-1 or 1-2) or draw (1-1)

Win-loss points:

Budimir vs Alaves defense line: Alaves' central defender lacks ability to assist in defense, and Budimir's movement and header may become breakthroughs.

Osasuna set-piece vs Alaves air defense: Osasuna set-piece goals account for 28%, while Alaves set-piece conceded a 25%.