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Serie A Preview: Pisa VS Fiorentina Score Prediction

Piza 1-1 Fiorentina

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Intention

Piza: Ranked 19th (2nd to the bottom), 1 point (4 games 0 wins 1 draw 3 losses), 0 points from the relegation zone, 2 home record and 2 losses, and huge pressure to relegate

Fiorentina: Ranked 17th (4th to the bottom), 2 points (4 games 0 wins 2 draws 2 losses), 2 points from the relegation zone, and 2 away record Unbeaten, relegation is also urgent to evaluate the fighting spirit: the two teams are both relegation teams, and their fighting spirit is comparable; Pisa has a strategic advantage at home

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Pisa (home) Fiorentina (away) advantaged team has recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 games, 19 goals, conceded 10 goals, 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 games, 12 goals and 9 goals, Pisa has conceded 0 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 4 games, Pisa has lost 2-3 in the last round, 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last round, and Cuomo has basically tied, offensive efficiency, averaged 1.9 goals in home games, and averaged 1.2 games in the league in the league Ball, Pisa's defense performance in the middle and lower reaches of the league is 1.0 goals per game at home, the middle and upper reaches of the league are 0.9 goals per game, the middle and upper reaches of the league are basically stagnant and ball-control ability is 38%, the 19th lowest in the league is 50%, and the 11th highest in the league is Fiorentina

3. Historical confrontation and psychological advantages

In the last 25 encounters, Pisa has only won 4 times, and is at a disadvantage in history

The last confrontation between the two teams in Serie A can be traced back to 1991, Fiorentina won at home

The most recent confrontation (2002) was the Italian Cup, and Pisa won

Piza's historical record against Fiorentina is relatively good at home, and the psychological disadvantage is not obvious

4. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Pizza Tactics: 3-4-3 formation, focusing on fast counterattack + Breakthrough on the wings

Midfielder controls the rhythm of the game, and creates opportunities through overall advancement and cooperation

vertical breakthrough of wingbacks is the main offensive method

Home more active: Strengthen high-pressures and increase offensive levels

Main weaknesses: The defensive retracement speed is slow, and the defensive turnover rate of set pieces is as high as 22%

Fiorentine Tactics: 4-3-3 formation, focusing on ball control + The wing offense

The midfield controls the rhythm of the game, and tear the defense line through short passes, frequently inserting the wing players, providing width and cross threat

The away game is more conservative: shrink the defense line, reduce the ball control, and focus on defensive counterattack

Main weaknesses: the forward line is collectively weak, and only scores 3 goals in four games, the midfield core Bonaventura slips in a state

Tactical collision: Pisa's fast counterattack just restrains Fiorentina's dense defense in the middle; Fiorentina's ball control advantage is difficult to fully utilize in the away game

5. Core players and injuries affect

Pisa core:

Enzola (forward No. 18): The team's scorer king, has scored 1 goal this season

Mandelagora (midfield 8 No.): All-round midfielder, both offense and defense, scored 2 goals

Angoli (Defense No. 3): Defensive core, good at stealing and interception

Fiorentine core:

Mandragola (Midfield No. 8): Midfield commander, strong organization and dispatching ability

Keane (Forward No. 20): Sharp knife on the front line, sharp sense of smell in front of the goal

Picoli (Forward No. 91): New forward, strong body, and is the offensive fulcrum

Injury:

Pisa: Stens (muscle contusion), Denon (ill), substitute players are injured, limited impact

Fiorentine: Kuyam (Knee injury), non-core players are injured, limited impact

Impact assessment: The two teams have relatively minor injuries, and the core lineup is complete

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: tied / hemisphere, moderate water level, the market is slightly optimistic about the hospitality team

European losses data: Pisa wins 3.30, draw 3.26, Fiorentina wins 2.25

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict Fiorentina's 1-2 goals win or draw, and the total number of goals is expected to be 1-2

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Pisa will tie 1-1 with Fiorentina at home. The main basis is as follows:

Home advantage and state comparison: Pisa's home record is significantly better than Fiorentina's away game (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses vs 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses); Pisa's three consecutive losses, but its performance improved, scoring 2 goals against Napoli in the last round and reaching xG 2.60, showing good offensive efficiency

Tactical complementarity and restraint: Pisa's quick counterattack just targets the weakness of Fiorentina's dense defense in the middle; Fiorentina pays more attention to defensive counterattacks away, and it is difficult to play the advantage of ball control

Core player status: Mandragola, the core players of the two teams are in excellent condition, contributing goals to their respective teams; although forwards such as Enzola and Keane perform poorly overall, they are expected to break out in the derby

Historical confrontations and psychological factors: Although Pisa is at a disadvantage in history, the two teams are both relegation teams in this game, and the gap in strength has been greatly narrowed. Pisa is expected to break the psychological disadvantage at home

Gambling data support: Although Asian handicap and European odds data are slightly optimistic about Fiorentina, the draw odds are relatively low (3.26), indicating that the market has high expectations for the draw

game will show a pattern of Pisa leading the offense and Fiorentina defensive counterattack.. Pisa is expected to take advantage of home court and wide breakthroughs, with Enzola leading the goal. Fiorentina may rely on Mandelagola's midfield scheduling and Keane's personal abilities to equalize the score in the second half. In the end, the two teams shook hands 1-1 and made peace with each other 1 point.

Score prediction: Pisa 1-1 Florence