The Korean women s football team faces Chinese Taipei at home. Can the advantage of historical confrontation continue to be strong?

1. Home team: The Korean women's football team's passing and control background and hidden injuries

As a traditional strong team in East Asia, the Korean women's football team showed offensive resilience in the first two games of this East Asia Cup - they can score twice in the face of both China and Japan. The role of core midfielder Xiaoran is crucial. She not only contributed 3 key passes and 85% of the pass success rate, but also assumed 71% of the team's threatening offensive initiation mission. This "pseudo No. 9" tactical system with her as the axis, coupled with winger Choi Yo-li's breakthrough on the wing, formed an oppressive pass-and-control style.

However, the team's defensive problems are also prominent: they missed 3 goals in two games, and four core members including main defender Kim Jinhee and midfielder Choi Yoo-ri were absent due to injuries, resulting in tight rotation of the defense line. Especially when playing against Japan, it was the substitute central defender Xuan Seqi's mistake that allowed Cheng Gongwei to find a chance to score. Although the Suwon World Cup Stadium, which played at home, can accommodate 44,000 spectators, the South Korean team has only achieved a mediocre record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last six home games, and the home advantage has not completely translated into a victory.

2. Visiting team: China Taipei's defensive dilemma and counterattack expectations

In contrast, the situation of the Chinese Taipei Women's Football Team this time is difficult. In the first two group matches, they lost 8 goals against the two Chinese and Japanese teams, and their awkward data with an average ball possession rate of only 28%, revealing the huge strength gap with the top Asian teams. Although Su Yuxuan scored consecutive goals in the qualifiers, the speed striker only touched the ball 19 times in the game and was completely isolated and left without help when facing Japan's high-pressure press.

The team's tactical system is distinctly polarized: the five-guard formation tries to compress space through dense defense, but the data averaged 32 times into the penalty area per game top this game; the counterattack end relies on Su Yuxuan's personal ability and set-piece tactics, but this East Asian Cup has not yet scored goals through sports wars. It is worth noting that the "5-4-1" formation adopted by the team when defeating the Philippines in the qualifiers may face greater tests when facing South Korea's pass-and-control style.

3. The team is optimistic - the strength gap and psychological advantages of the Korean women's football team

From the historical confrontation, the Korean women's football team has won all against Chinese Taipei in the past 5 times, averaging 4.1 goals and 4 clean sheets per game, and its psychological advantages are almost crushed. Although injuries to Ji Xiaoran and Choi Yoo-ri may affect midfield control, newcomers such as Kim Yoo-ri and Jung Do-bin on the bench have shown tactical execution in the qualifiers. In contrast, although goalkeeper Liu Yanmei set a record of 16 clean sheets in this game, the performance of being shot 9 times in a single game against Japan exposed the weak awareness of defense line.

Considering the tactical maturity of the Korean women's football team under the pass control system, and the characteristics of Chinese Taipei that are prone to collapse under high pressure (18 steals per game this year), the Korean women's football team is likely to continue the dominance of historical confrontations in this game. However, we must be wary of occasional mistakes caused by injury rotation in the home team's defense line. If Taipei can seize the opportunity of set pieces, it may create a short-term threat. Overall, the Korean women's football team is expected to secure the victory with a score of 2-0 or 3-1.