[Today s Event] 3 strings: Paris Saint-Mall is stronger, Cincinnati has a more balanced offense and defense (with sweeping)

Saturday 015 Club World Cup Paris Saint-Germain VS Bayern Munich

Match time: 2025-07-06 00:00

Paper strength: Paris Saint-Mahon is worth 1120 million euros, ranking first in the world clubs; Bayern is worth 892 million euros, ranking second. Paris Saint-Maarten has richer honors (including 1 Champions League title and 13 French Ligue 1 titles), and has the best value and ranking, with an advantage on paper strength.

Summary: Paris Saint-Maarn is strong and has obvious advantages.

Recent record:

Paris Saint-Maarten's last three home games: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss (winning Arsenal, draw without record, and losing to Nice). The opponents include Arsenal, ranked 5th, but the overall stability is insufficient.

Bayern has won 2 and tied 1 in the last 3 away games (beat Hoffenheim, Heidenheim; draws Leipzig). He scored twice, and his opponent, Leipzig ranked 61st, with a high value.

Summary: Bayern has won 2 away games and draws 1 in a better shape.

Offensive and defensive ability:

Offensive: Paris scored 6 goals in the last 3 home games (2 goals per game); Bayern scored 11 goals in the last 3 away games (3.67 goals per game), and Bayern is stronger on the offensive end.

Defense: Paris has 0 clean sheets in the last 3 home games and conceded 5 goals; Bayern has 2 clean sheets away, conceding only 1 goal, and its defense stability is significantly advantageous.

Summary: Bayern has efficient offense and more stable defense (2 zero blocks).

Event performance:

Offensive and defensive balance: Paris scored 10 goals conceded 1 goal (gap difference +9); Bayern scored 16 goals conceded 4 goals (gap difference +12), both sides had both offense and defense, and Bayern had stronger firepower.

Control: Paris averages 71% of the ball and 65% of Bayern, and Paris has stronger control.

Offensive efficiency: Paris averaged 16.5 shots → 7.25 shots (conversion rate 43.9%); Bayern had 15.75 shots → 7.25 shots (conversion rate 46%), and Bayern had a slightly higher efficiency.

Summary: Paris has the advantage in control, but Bayern has better offensive efficiency and strong firepower.

Confrontation characteristics: In the last 6 confrontations, Bayern won 5 wins and 1 loss (such as 1-0 home win in 2024), with significant psychological advantages. Both sides have very few draws in the last 10 games (only one draw), and the overall probability of a draw is low.

Summary: Bayern has the advantage in the confrontation, and there are few draws recently.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win/draw: 3}

Total goals: 2 goals / 3 goals

Half-game: Win/size

Score: 2:1 / 1:1

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 0.40

5%+Institutions: 0

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Saturday 019 Club World Cup Real Madrid vs Dortmund

Match time: 2025-07-06 04:00

Paper strength: Real Madrid is worth 1.34 billion euros (Doorit is only 485 million, less than 36%), ranking 7th in the world (Doorit 9th). The difference in honors is huge: Real Madrid has 10 Club World Cups and 9 Champions Leagues, while Dortmund has only 1 Champions League and has no top trophy in recent years. Among the superstar lineup, Real Madrid's top three players (Berringham 180 million, Mbappe 180 million, and Vinicius 170 million) have a total price of 530 million, surpassing the entire team of Domestic and Television, and the paper gap is a gap.

Summary: Real Madrid crushed Dortmund in all aspects.

Recent results: Real Madrid has won all three home games (2-0 Real Sociedad, 2-1 Majorca, 3-2 Celta), with an average opponent's value of 175 million euros, including 1 clean sheet. Dortmund has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last three away games (4-2 Leverkusen, 3-2 Hoffenheim, 2-2 Bayern). Although it draws Bayern with a net worth of 890 million, the number of clean sheets is 0, and the stability of away defense is doubtful.

Summary: Real Madrid's home win is more valuable.

Offensive and defensive ability:

Offensive: Dortmund scored 9 goals in the last 3 away games (Real Madrid scored 7 goals at home), slightly advantageous; but Real Madrid's total goals in the current game are 8 goals > Dortmund scored 7 goals.

Defense: Real Madrid conceded 3 goals + 1 clean sheet in the last 3 home games, and the total conceded only 2 goals in the current game; Dortmund conceded 6 goals + 0 clean sheets in the last 3 away games, and the current game conceded 4 goals. The stability of Dortmund's defense line is significantly behind.

Summary: Real Madrid's defense line is as solid as a rock, and Dortmund's offense is difficult to cover up defensive loopholes.

Event performance:

Offensive and defensive balance: Real Madrid's goal difference +6 (8-lose 2), Dortmund +3 (7-lose 4).

Control: Real Madrid averages 54% ball control rate > 50% of Dortmund, pass success rate 90.62%> 85.95% of Dortmund, long pass success rate 54.95%> 44.34% of Dortmund, and wins in control of the game.

Offensive efficiency: Real Madrid averaged 15 shots → 6.25 shots on the right (8.75 difference), and Dortmund 12.25 times → 5.75 times (6.5 difference). Real Madrid has stronger ability to create absolute opportunities (shot positive rate of 41.7% vs Dortmund 46.9%).

Summary: Real Madrid has comprehensively suppressed its control and efficiency.

Confrontation features: Real Madrid won 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 matches, including the 2024 Champions League double (5-2 at home and 2-0 away). There are only 2 draws in history (33%), and there are no draws in the last two encounters. Real Madrid averaged ≥2 goals per game.

Summary: Real Madrid crushes psychological advantages, and the probability of a draw is relatively low.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win

Total goals: 3 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Win

Score: 2:1 / 3:1

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 1.24

5%+Institutions: 1

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Saturday 002 US Football Cincinnati FCVS Chicago Flames match time: 2025-07-06 07:30

Paper strength: The whole team of Cincinnati is worth 60.25 million euros, higher than Chicago's 41.7 million euros, but the World Club Ranking (529) is lower than Chicago (1380). In terms of core players' value, Cincinnati has two forward core players worth 14 million euros (Evander and Denkei), while Chicago's highest value player is only 9 million euros (Qupper).

Summary: Cincinnati has the advantage in paper strength and has significant advantages in front line.

Recent results: Cincinnati has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last three home games: defeated Austin FC (2-1), draws Dallas FC (3-3), and lost to Washington United (1-2). The average opponent's value is about 35.5 million euros. Chicago has won 2 wins and 1 loss in its last three away games: defeating Orlando City (3-1), defeating Washington United (7-1), and losing to New York City (1-3). The average opponent's value is about 35.2 million euros.

Summary: Chicago is in better away form, winning 2 away games in the last 3 games and having stronger offensive explosiveness.

Offensive and defensive ability: Cincinnati has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals in his last 3 home games, with zero clean sheets; Chicago has scored 11 goals and conceded 5 goals in his last 3 away games, with zero clean sheets being 0. On the offensive end, Chicago has averaged 3.67 away games in recent away games (Cincinnati is averaging 2 goals at home), but neither team has a record of zero marks on the defensive end and lacks stability.

Summary: Chicago has fierce offensive firepower, but both sides have hidden dangers in defense.

Event performance

Offensive and defensive balance: Cincinnati scored 31 goals and conceded 26 goals (gap difference +5), Chicago scored 38 goals and conceded 34 goals (gap difference +4), and Cincinnati's defense was slightly stable.

Control: Cincinnati's average ball possession rate of 50% (49% in Chicago) is basically the same.

Offensive efficiency: Cincinnati averaged 14.1 shots → 5.65 shots on the right (conversion rate 40.1%); Chicago averaged 13.11 shots → 5.74 shots on the right (conversion rate 43.8%), Chicago is slightly more efficient.

Summary: Cincinnati has a more balanced offense and defense, while Chicago has a higher offensive efficiency.

Confrontation features: In the last 6 confrontations, Cincinnati has the advantage of 4 wins and 2 losses, and defeated Chicago 3-2 away in the first leg of this season. But it is worth noting that Cinnati lost 0-1 to his opponent at home last season. There are very few draws in historical confrontations (no draws in the last 10 times), showing a winning or losing pattern. Summary: Cincinnati has the psychological advantage, but the probability of a draw is extremely low.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win/draw: 3}

Total goals: 5 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Win Score: 3:2 2:2

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 8.87

5%+Institutions: 17

The range of low compensation changes in this event showed a large fluctuation, and more than half of the companies showed that the odds changed by more than 5%. This shows that the event has extremely high uncertainty and the possibility of unpopularity is very high, and it deserves special attention.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the change in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis. It is more stable on the spot.