Win 2 more games to qualify! Six teams in the Champions League wins, Mourinho faces elimination, Inter Milan has mixed joys and sorrows

In the new season of the Champions League, two rounds of 36 games have been completed, with Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain respectively ranked in the top three in the standings. Karabakh from Azerbaijan entered the Champions League for the second time after eight years, becoming one of the six teams that won two consecutive victories. Inter Milan and Arsenal also maintained a complete victory. In the first round of the Champions League, a total of 14 teams won, and among these teams, only 6 teams stood out and continued to score three points. Despite the lack of many frontcourt players, Paris Saint-Germain scored at the last moment and reversed the victory over Barcelona, ​​reflecting the style of the defending champion. After defeating Benfica in the first round, Karabach defeated Copenhagen at home, becoming the biggest dark horse at present.

Arsenal, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich defeated the "weak" teams respectively and successfully won two consecutive victories. Real Madrid's second round was quite difficult. Not only did they have to overcome the time difference between the three time zones, but they also had more than 9 hours of flight journey. They finally ushered in a five-goal victory, without giving the unpopular chances.

The biggest upset belongs to Liverpool, who lost to Galatasaray away, and has lost two consecutive games, including Community Shield, and has lost three games in the 10 games in the new season. You know, last season, the third loss did not happen until the end of January of the second year, and this season seemed to have been a bit regressive. On the weekend, Liverpool will also challenge Chelsea away, and Allison and Ekitic may be absent. If you are not careful, the top spot in the Premier League may change hands.

So, how far is the six teams that have won two consecutive victories from qualifying?

Since the three major European Cups only changed the rules last season and introduced such a model in the league stage, only one season of data can be used as a reference. Last season, Bruges ranked 24th in the Champions League, with 11 points, and Fenerbahce, coached by Mourinho, received 10 points.

Therefore, a 12-point team has a good chance of entering the top 24, thus obtaining the right to qualify and participating in at least the top 16 play-offs. Of course, this is just an estimation. Unlike traditional group stages, it is difficult to have a clear score. Whether to qualify or eliminate, there will be different results in each season.

According to this calculation standard, if the team that has won two consecutive games now, they may be qualified to qualify. Judging from the remaining opponents, Inter Milan is relatively ideal. Next, he will challenge San Giros away and face Almaty Keilat at home. The chance of winning four consecutive games is quite high. However, Inter Milan is mixed, because the last four opponents are Atletico Madrid, Liverpool, Arsenal and Dortmund. If you miss four consecutive victories, it may become quite serious.

Similarly, in the following two rounds, Arsenal faced Atletico Madrid and Slavia Prague, and Bayern Munich faced Bruges and Paris Saint-Germain, both of which were strong and the other weak. If you were lucky, it would be impossible to win two consecutive games.

Real Madrid's opponents in the next two rounds include Juventus and Liverpool, while Paris Saint-Germain is Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, both of which are top teams in the five major leagues. It is really difficult for Real Madrid and Paris to win four consecutive games.

As for the dark horse team Karabach, the real challenge is coming. In the first two rounds, Karabach did not meet the traditional giants, and the persuasiveness of winning all 6 points was not enough. The remaining six opponents are all powerful teams from major leagues, including Bilbao in La Liga, Chelsea and Liverpool in Premier League, Naples in Serie A, Frankfurt in Bundesliga, and Ajax in the Dutch Eredivisie. If Karabach can get enough points among these opponents and eventually enter the top 24, he can be considered a real dark horse.

At the same time, if a team that has not won two consecutive victories and wants to qualify, it will be safer to win 3 games in the next 6 games. Especially Benfica, who lost both games, will be the top teams next, including Real Madrid, Juventus, Napoli and Leverkusen. Even Newcastle and Ajax will never be easy. It can be seen that Mourinho, who has been away from the Champions League for many years, is very difficult to get the lowest 11 points of qualifying last season. He faced the severe situation of being eliminated from the Champions League at the beginning of his tenure.