[7.27 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo’s weekend 8 strings 1 football match preview!

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Today's event

[001 18:00 Urawa Red Diamonds VS Fukuoka Hornets]

Look at the fundamentals first: Urawa Red Diamonds are currently 8th in the league, 6 points away from the AFC Champions League zone, 9 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 13 home games, and just washed the Shonan Ocean 4-1 in the last round, sweeping away the decline of the previous four consecutive losses; Fukuoka Hornets ranked 11th, leading the relegation play-offs by 2 points, and unbeaten in the last 6 games, with a hard defense, constipation in only 8 goals in the last 10 games, and 6 clean sheets, but they only 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in 10 away games, and they are always "constipated" on the offensive end.

The battle intention is about both sides want to grab points: Urawa wants to compete for the AFC Champions League, so he must get points at home; Fukuoka has to relegation, so he dare not give away any away games. In the historical confrontation, Fukuoka has won 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 times. He won 1-0 at home in the first leg of this season, but Urawa has won 3 consecutive home games against Fukuoka, averaging 2.3 goals per game, and his psychological advantage at home is on the court.

In terms of injuries, Urawa's midfielder Shibado Hiro was absent due to surgery, and the impact was not fatal; Fukuoka was even worse, center forward Shahab, right back Yishi Oda, and central defender Ikeda Shulei were all injured, and the offense and defense were missing key puzzles, especially forward scoring and wing defense, which made the loopholes suddenly bigger.

Institutional trends, if the initial market gives Urawa Joe 0.25 - 0.5, combined with their strength at home, recent situation, and the potential for injury to Fukuoka, it is actually a reasonable tendency. Urawa is good at crossing from the side + set-piece bombing, high center forward Yu Ai Ai is hard heading, Fukuoka is now vacant in the defense, which is difficult to withstand; although Fukuoka has a strong defense, his away offense is already weak, and there is no sharp sword on the front line, and the threat of counterattack is also reduced.

Summary: Urawa's home buff was full, the morale was strong in the last round of victory, Fukuoka lacked major generals away, and the defensive flaws were obvious. Even if Fukuoka has the advantage in the historical confrontation, the current home game + injury + fighting spirit is superimposed, Urawa's probability of winning at home is greater. Recommended win.