8.13 Analysis reference points!!!

At 3:00 on August 14, the European Super Cup will usher in a showdown between Paris Saint-Germain (Paris Saint-Matts) and Tottenham Hotspur (Tottenham). This focus game brings together many world-class stars. The following analysis is from multiple dimensions:

1. Team positioning and value

Paris Saint-Matt: As a Ligue 1 giant, the team's total value is about 850 million euros, and the lineup is full of stars. It has top attackers such as Mbappe, Dembele, Vitinia, as well as experienced defenders such as Skriniar and Ramos. It has always been at the top of the Ligue 1 list and is a regular visitor to the Champions League, with strong lineup depth and finishing ability.

Tottenham: The traditional Premier League team has a total value of about 520 million euros, which is not as good as Paris, but Kane (after transferring to Bayern in the summer, Tottenham's offensive core was changed to Son Heung-min, Richarlison), Madison, Van Devin and other players with balanced strength. The Premier League started well this season, and the tactical system is smoother with the creation of new coach Post Koglu.

2. Recent status and key data

Paris Saint-Mall: 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 games (France Super League Cup, friendly matches), scored 14 goals and conceded 5 goals, with a winning rate of 67%. The French Super League Cup defeated Lyon 2-0 to win the championship, showing strong dominance; but in the friendly match, when facing strong teams such as Barcelona and Juventus, although they did not lose, they exposed the problem of insufficient defense in the midfield (such as being penetrated through the ribs many times when playing against Barcelona).

Home game (this game is played in Istanbul, Turkey, which is considered "quasi-neutral") has performed stably recently, with key player Mbappe in a hot state and has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 3 games.

Tottenham:

In the last 6 games (Premier League, friendly matches), 5 wins and 1 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 6 goals, with a winning rate of 83%. In the first round of the Premier League, he defeated Brentford 2-0. Son Heung-min and Madison cooperated tacitly. After new players Van Devin and Polo integrated into the defense line, their defense stability improved; but lost 1-2 to Leipzig in a friendly match, exposing the goal loopholes of the defense line under high-intensity pressing.

Away (quasi-neutral position) is highly resilient, with 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 away games, and has outstanding counterattack efficiency.

3. Lineup and Injury Impact

Paris Saint-Matt: The main midfielder Veratti may be absent due to a minor injury, and the team's midfield control may be affected. Vitinia and Ugat will be paired with two midfielders; the back guard Ramos, Skrinial and Ashraf are in a good combination and have rich defensive experience; the forward Mbappe, Dembele, and Muani are fully fire-powered, and the only hidden danger is that the winger Koeman may be on standby.

Tottenham:

New aid Solomon (windback) is out of the game due to a knee injury, which has little impact on the rotation of the wing; the main left-back Ben Davis may be absent due to muscle problems, and Seynn is a guest player with the left-back. His assist ability is slightly weak and may become the key area for Paris to attack; the front-court trident composed of Son Heung-min, Madison and Richarlison is in good shape, with outstanding interception ability in the midfield than Suba, and the defense line Van Devin and Romero have a higher stability in their partners.

4. Tactical style and key counterattacks

Paris Saint-Mahon:

Mainly played 4-3-3 formation, relying on Mbappe's wing breakthrough (mainly on the left) and inward shots, Dembele's right-hand cross and Ashraf's wing cross threatened a lot. The midfield focuses on quickly from defense to offense, and penetrates through short passes to penetrate the opponent's defense line; but the high-pressing intensity is average when defending, and the midfield's return speed is slow, which is easy to be penetrated by counterattacks.

Tottenham:

Postkoglu implements a 4-2-3-1 system of "high-level compression + ball-control attack". Madison is responsible for the connection as the front midfielder. Son Heung-min and Richarlison frequently cross the space to pull the space. Fullbacks Polo and Se Yunju (if appear) have a large assist; when defending, all players press at high positions, trying to directly launch a counterattack after intercepting the ball in the midfield, but there is a large space behind the defense line, so the defense of the speed striker is a difficult point.

Key counterparts:

Mbappe (Paris left) VS Polo (Tottenham Hotspur’s right): Mbappe’s speed and change of direction will test Polo’s defense. If Polo is broken through, Tottenham’s right defense will easily lead to loopholes.

Son Heung-min (Tottenham left) VS Ashraf (Paris right): Son Heung-min's inward shooting strike forms an attack with Ashraf's assist ability. Who can suppress the opponent's wing will affect the direction of the game.

Midfield Control: Paris's Vitinia vs Tottenham's Madison, the two's pass success rate and key passes will determine the team's offensive rhythm.

5. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

The two teams have been unbeaten in the last 5 matches, with Paris 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 11 goals and conceding 5 goals, gaining a psychological advantage. The most recent match was the 2022 Champions League group stage, Paris defeated Tottenham 7-2 at home, and Mbappe contributed 4 goals in a single game, leaving a shadow on Tottenham's defense; but now Tottenham's lineup is updated, and Postkoglu's tactical system is completely different from before, and his historical record is limited in reference value.

6. Game highlights and predictions

Highlights:

Mbappe and Son Heung-min's "Golden Ball-level" showdown, who can dominate the offensive end?

Can Tottenham's high-pressing limit Paris' midfielder's goal?

Paris's wing breakthrough and Tottenham's counterattack speed, which tactic works better?

Comprehensive prediction:

Paris Saint-Maaron's lineup is more talented, and Mbappe's personal ability is the key to breaking the deadlock; although Tottenham is in good shape, there are hidden dangers when facing top speed strikers in the defense line. Paris is expected to win a small victory or draw