QQ-Sports > Football > August 6: Some events are analyzed and predicted.
August 6: Some events are analyzed and predicted.

Nice event analysis and forecast:
Recent status and lineup adjustments: Nice was in the upper middle of the Ligue 1 last season. In the offseason, it enhanced its impact and midfield control by introducing young players (such as Vienna fast winger Jansong and North Koeping central defender Open), and achieved a stable performance of 4 wins and 1 loss in the warm-up match. But the departure of main goalkeeper Burka (transfer to Saudi Arabia) and forward Labode may weaken defensive stability and offensive finishing ability. The current lineup is characterized by "Youth Storm". Lodi, Bamba and other wing fast horses are paired with the defense line led by Todibo, and their home defense is resilient (average 0.8 goals per game in the warm-up match).
Tactical style and home advantage: Nice focuses on defensive counterattacks, relying on wing speed and set pieces (Todibo heading success rate is 74%). It improves morale through the fan atmosphere at home, and shrinking the defense line and waiting for an opportunity to counterattack is its core strategy. Head coach Farioli is good at statistic adjustments and may target the goal route of Benfica's midfield core Enzo Fernandez, and increase the impact of the penalty area through substitutions after 60 minutes.
Benfica event analysis and forecast:
Recent status and lineup depth: Benfica has been at the forefront of the Portuguese Super League last season, and has a stable performance in the European competition (advanced to the Champions League four times in the past 5 seasons). Although he lost core members such as Di Maria and Carreras in the offseason, he introduced new players such as Pavlides and Roeth, and the lineup remains balanced. The pre-season friendly match performed positively and defeated Portugal Sports 1-0 in the Portuguese Super Cup and won the championship, and was in a hot state.
Tactical system and core advantages: Benfica focuses on ball control and high-level pressing, and has frequent wing-road rotations (2.1 wing-road players are rotated per game per game), creating cross-cut opportunities through the linkage between wingers and full-backs, and has extremely high counterattack efficiency (Otamendi's long pass accuracy supports rapid conversion). Midfielders Augusto and Florentino have both offense and defense, and the combination of Ramos and Mario on the front line has both technical and impact. When they were behind in the last three European games, they averaged only 28 minutes of equalization time, and their pressure resistance was outstanding. The departure of core players (Dimaria, Carreras) may affect offensive creativity, but new players Pavlides (Golden Boot of Eredivisie) and Roesey (Royal of South American wing) are expected to fill the gap. In addition, Benfica needs to adapt to Nice's high-pressure pressing when playing away. If the ball possession rate is suppressed, it may fall into a passive position.
Comprehensive analysis of the two teams' matches:
Historical confrontation and psychological factors: The two teams only met twice in friendly matches in history, and Benfica won all (3-0, 2-1), but for the first time in the official match, Nice had a strong desire to win at home, which may offset some psychological disadvantages. 75% of Benfica's players have experience in the Champions League group stage. Captain Rafa Silva has made 58 appearances in the European game, contributed 12 goals and 8 assists in the knockout stage, and crushed Nice in the competition experience (only 50% of the players have made more than 10 appearances in the European game). Nice's key pass success rate of away games with more than 10,000 people has dropped by 15%, but home fans may improve their ability to withstand pressure. This game is a typical showdown between defensive counterattack and ball control suppression. Benfica's overall strength and European heritage are better, but Nice's home game may cause an accident. If Benfica breaks the deadlock in the first half, it is likely to control the overall situation; Jonis withstands the pressure in the first 30 minutes and is expected to take the initiative with a draw as the second round.
001 Champions League Salzburg VS Bruges Recommended: Let's win, let's draw score prediction: 11, 12, 22 Goals: 2 goals/3 goals/4 goals
002 Champions League Ludogore VS Ferenc Recommended: Let's lose, let's draw score prediction: 21, 22, 32 Goals: 3 goals/4 goals/5 goals
005 Champions League Nice VS Benfica Recommended: Loss, let's draw score prediction: 11, 02, 12 Goals: 2 goals/3 goals

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