Bundesliga Felt vs Dresden

In the first round of the 2025 Bundesliga, Fert and Dresden will compete fiercely at the Longhof Sports Park Stadium. As a relegation team, Fert has a clear goal this season, which is to return to the Bundesliga. The team is determined to win the first home game in this game. On the offensive end, the team introduced forward Lucas Petkov, who played for Bundesliga last season, who scored 12 goals last season and is expected to fill the team's offensive vacancy. In the midfield, Fen Dahl, who came on loan from Hamburg, will improve the team's organizational ability. Tactical, Fert focuses on 4-3-3 high-pressure pressing tactics, with a home possession rate of more than 55% all year round, and a sharp breakthrough on the wing, with an average of 18 passes per game last season. However, the team's defense was reorganized, and the two main players left the team and conceded 5 goals in three games in the warm-up match, which had certain hidden dangers in the defense.

Dresden is a newly promoted team, with the goal of relegation in the new season. The team is mainly stable when playing away games. The team retained the upgraded core team and added new central defender Marcus Menz, who was selected for the German C's best lineup, to strengthen the defense line. Dresden is good at 5-4-1 formations, with an average ball possession rate of only 40% away games. His offense mainly relies on long passes to find forward Patrick Schmidt, who was the German Bing Golden Boot last season and scored 24 goals. But it should be noted that Dresden's away win rate against strong teams is less than 20%, which was the case in Germany last season. In addition, the team's set-piece tactics are threatening, and Schmidt's heading success rate reaches 65%, and Fert's air defense ability will face a test.

From the historical confrontation, in the last five Bundesliga matches, Fert has the upper hand in 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and has maintained a complete victory at home. Although Fert's new striker needs to be adjusted, his home offensive firepower is strong; although Dresden's defense has been strengthened, his away game ability is limited. Based on all factors, Fert is more likely to score three points at home in this game with his home advantage and past confrontation records, making a good start to the new season.