Perhaps, this season s Premier League can be concluded: Unless Arsenal wants to lose, the championship will not be lost.

The league has only played 9 rounds and there are still 29 rounds in the competition. It is still an intense and unusual competition like the Premier League. If it is concluded at this time that Arsenal is the champion, how many people will agree with such a conclusion?

Indeed, the Premier League is not a league like the Bundesliga or Ligue 1 where the focus is relatively concentrated on one team and there is not much suspense. Therefore, it would undoubtedly be too eye-catching to rush to the conclusion of the championship team when the schedule is only 1/4.

However, in fact, the results and data given in the 9 rounds of competition seem to illustrate a lot of problems.

In the end, what are the reasons to support or be optimistic about Arsenal's championship? Stability, defense, progress, trump card and the decline of competitors are all indispensable!

Stable

When the focus of football this season is monopolized by Bayern, which has won 13 consecutive games, it cannot be ignored that Arsenal, after defeating Crystal Palace, has also recently achieved 10 unbeaten games in all competitions, with 9 wins and 1 draw;

At the same time, 7 consecutive wins have For the Gunners, if we only look at part of the future schedule, perhaps their winning streak can be extended to a certain extent;

Furthermore, Arsenal, which has kept clean sheets in five consecutive games after winning 1-0 at Crystal Palace, now has control over the game and its opponents, which has been well reflected in such results.

Defense

There is a famous saying in the NBA - offense wins the audience, defense wins the championship!

Today's Arsenal is undoubtedly fulfilling this principle - 9 Premier League games + 3 Champions League games + 1 English League Cup game, Arsenal has played a total of 13 games, but only conceded 3 goals. And this also means that the team's average goals conceded per game is only 0.23 goals today, or only 1 goal conceded every 4.3 games;

How defense affects performance, Liverpool's goal-conceding data undoubtedly illustrates - they only played one more Community Shield game than Arsenal The defending champion has conceded 21 goals in 14 games this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game and conceding 1 goal every 0.67 games (approximately every 60 minutes). This also explains why this team has lost four consecutive games in the Premier League and is only temporarily ranked tenth in the Champions League.

Progress

If a team wants to improve or get closer to the championship, it undoubtedly cannot make continuous mistakes where they have made mistakes before. Regarding this point, Arsenal has already made a significant improvement - in the 24/25 season, Arsenal lost 10 points in 4 league games against Newcastle, West Ham, Fulham and Crystal Palace. Considering that Arsenal was 10 points behind Liverpool last season, if Arsenal scored all the points in the above games, it is still unknown who will win;

However, Arsenal in the 25/26 season scored 12 points against the same opponent. This also means that there is no needless loss of points, which undoubtedly greatly improves the probability of winning the championship.

The trump card - set-piece

As Arsenal is known for its stability and control, it is naturally not a team that scores many goals. But it seems that keeping them from scoring goals is also a huge challenge for them.

After all, the 16 goals scored in the league include 11 set-piece goals, which makes them exceed the total goals scored by the eight teams in the league.

Black cat and white cat, the one that catches mice is a good cat--Maybe the outside world can criticize Arsenal's scoring ability in sports games, but football games can't only score points through sports games, right?

Of course, the strength of set pieces does not mean that sports battles can be "broken" - statistics from BBC SPORT show that if this season is only ranked based on the results of sports battle goals, Arsenal can only rank fifth.

Perhaps injuries are an important prerequisite for Arsenal to adopt set pieces as the main scoring method, but such data actually gives Arsenal a reason to be more improved and stronger.

The decline of competitors

In many cases, winning the championship is indeed indispensable for strength, but luck is by no means a factor that can be ignored:

In the 24/25 season, Manchester City's lagging behind actually relieved a lot of pressure on Liverpool's championship. After all, the score of 84 points is indeed the second lowest score since the 11/12 season, only higher than Leicester's 81 points in the 15/16 season;

In the 23/24 season, Liverpool played 2-2 away from home in the 32nd round The team's 5-game league record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, from the tie with Manchester United to the 2-2 away draw with West Ham, also made the team's desire to attack Manchester City come to nothing;

Looking back, there must be Arsenal's key moments in the 22/23 season.

So, when Liverpool started this season poorly and Manchester City seemed to lack the dominance of the past, the more stable Arsenal is undoubtedly the team most likely to win the championship. Moreover, isn't it the basic law to win the championship by seizing the opponent's mistakes and widening the point difference as quickly as possible?

The release of media predictions and odds actually demonstrates the outside world's unanimous optimism for Arsenal this season.

In Squawka's latest Premier League championship prediction, Arsenal's index of 4/9 is ahead of Manchester City's 9/2 and Liverpool's 7/1. Is Arsenal's advantage huge? In fact, that's not the case, but when it comes to the stability reflected in the games that have ended, Arsenal is currently the better favorite to win the Premier League;

In Opta's latest prediction, Arsenal also ranks first - the probability of winning is as high as 66.35% and the predicted points will reach 80 points. This has undoubtedly given Arsenal a quite obvious gap compared to their old rivals Manchester City and Liverpool..

Of course, considering that Arsenal has already faced strong opponents such as Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Newcastle United in the league, the score of 22 points in 9 games is indeed very valuable;

In Football Meets In Data's latest Premier League prediction, Arsenal's probability of winning the championship has reached 78.6%, highlighting its huge advantage, and the points prediction has also reached at least 84 points (leading behind Liverpool and Manchester City is expected to reach at least 10 points).

If you want to win the championship, you must actually have some coincidences and historical laws.

Data from BBC SPORT: In fact, it has been 7 times in the Gunners' history to get at least 22 league points in 9 rounds of the league. But the only time the team was able to win the championship with a good start was in the 2003/04 season, which was the team's last league championship to date.

But considering that Arsenal has already faced strong opponents such as Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Newcastle in the league, the score of 22 points in 9 games is indeed very valuable. Perhaps this time, Arsenal will hope to regain the glory of 20 years ago;

Finally, don't forget the results achieved by Arsenal, which also experienced three consecutive Asian defeats, in the fourth season:

In the three seasons from 1999 to 2001, Wenger led Arsenal to lose to Manchester United by 1 point, 18 points and 10 points, and won the runner-up three times. But in the following 01/02 season, when Manchester United's losses increased but Arsenal still performed smoothly, they finally won the championship with 87 points;

In the three seasons from 2023 to 2025, Arsenal lost to the championship team by a total of 17 points. But being runners-up for three consecutive years has actually tempered Arsenal's mentality and enhanced their desire for the championship.

Next year, will Arsenal fans who have been waiting for 20 years since the 2004/05 season see the Arsenal team that finally stood on the podium and won the final trophy?