Sunday 002 Tokyo Greenland VS Machida Zavia event analysis and score prediction

Based on today's pre-match information, a comprehensive analysis of the Japanese-Junior League match between Tokyo Green and Machida Zavia (002 games on Sunday). Combined with the team's status, injuries, tactical characteristics and historical confrontation, the prediction is as follows:

1. Recent status and ranking comparison

1. Tokyo Green (home court)

League performance: Only 1 win (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses) in the last 5 rounds, ranking 14th with 28 points, only 3 points higher than the relegation zone, and the pressure to relegate is significant.

Offensive and Defensive Data: Extremely weak on the offensive end (15 goals in the league, second to last in the league), but the defense has improved recently (3 consecutive games of clean sheets, including a 1-0 victory over Kawasaki forward).

Home record: 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at home this season, with alternating wins and losses in the last 4 home games, and insufficient stability.

2. Machida Zavia (away game)

League performance: won 6 consecutive victories (including 4 league games), ranked 7th with 37 points, and is only 2 points away from the AFC qualification area.

Offensive and Defensive Data: Strong offensive firepower (15 goals in the last 6 games), with a away record of the Japanese Professional League (7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, second in the league with 24 points).

Away momentum: Unbeaten in the last 4 away games (3 wins and 1 draw), and 3 consecutive away games were clean.

The following table summarizes the recent key data comparison between the two sides:

1. Tokyo Greenland

League ranking: 14th (28 points).

Records in the last 5 rounds: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.

Offensive and Defensive Performance: 15 goals in the league (2nd to the end) have scored in the last 3 games.

Home record: 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at home, and the last 4 home games alternate.

Injury impact: The main players in the front line 3 have been absent for a long time.

2. Machida Zavia

League Ranking: 7th (37 points).

Records in the last 5 rounds: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (all wins).

Offensive and Defensive Performance: Scored 15 goals in the last 6 games and scored 3 consecutive away games.

away record: 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses away (second in the league); unbeaten in the last 4 away games.

Injury impact: Only 2 defenders are absent.

2. Injuries and key players impact

1. Tokyo Green Forefront collapsed

The three main strikers were collectively injured: Yamami Daito (cruciate ligament strain), Yamada Takaki (knee ligament torn), and Sakai Nobufuku (calf injury), resulting in a sharp reduction in goal-scoring ability in sports battles (the proportion of goals in sports battles

depends on midfielder Shota Hino (lumbar fracture, may return in this game) and wingbacks to assist, but the ending efficiency is doubtful.

2. Machida Zavia's lineup is stable

Only two defenders, Nara Saka (cruciate ligament) and Yoshida Shin (hamstring) are absent, and the three central defenders are led by Masako Gen, and the defensive framework is complete.

Offensive core: Hirado Taiqi& Dudu (combined 18 goals) is good at counterattacking quickly (only 8.2 seconds of counterattack per game); winger Takuma Nishimura (4 goals) and midfielder Yuki Masa (3 goals) are in a hot state.

3. Historical confrontation and tactical game

1. Confrontation record

Machida has 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 matches, and has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Tokyo Green in the last 4 away games.

Tokyo has won 1-0 away games in the first leg of this season, and Machida has a strong desire to revenge in this game.

Key points of tactical confrontation

Tokyo Green in: Mainly 3-5-2 formation , relying on midfielder Naoki Yamada (3.2 key passes per game) to dispatch + wingbacks, but the front is unable to do so, may find it difficult to transform the advantage.

Machida Zavia: 4-4-2 Diamond midfielder focuses on counterattack, using Hirado to the high-priced (2.8 breakthroughs per game) to attack Tokyo's wing; high-altitude ball defense is a shortcoming (49% success rate of top-strike), but Tokyo lacks the fulcrum of the front line and is difficult to take advantage of this weakness.

4. Results prediction and key basis

1. Win-loss tendency

Machida's offense and defense balance + away dragon attribute, institutional data is fully inclined: the Asian index rose from the initial draw to the away half-ball, and the European away odds dropped to 2.01 (the main win rose to 4.1 9).

The attack was paralyzed by injury in Tokyo. Machida's counterattack efficiency (35% of the scores come from counterattacks) can hit the left side empty.

2. Score reference

Preferred to 0-1 and 0-2 (Machida's chance of winning 45% in the win); defend against a 1-1 draw (if Tokyo scores with a set piece, the probability is 30%).

Summary: Machida Zevia is expected to succeed in revenge with her winning streak, away dominance and front firepower; although Tokyo Green is playing at home and has a stable defense, the forward player is unable to break the deadlock. I am optimistic about Machida's away win (-0.5 goals handicap), with a score of 0-1/0-2, and the number of goals is less than 2.5 goals.